Combat Edge Intelligence

Torrance Taylor vs Tracy Reeder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-8-1Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach73.5"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Rising Dragon Fight TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Torrance TaylorNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Tracy ReederNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Torrance TaylorTracy Reeder
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
4 (31%)
Submission
5 (42%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Tracy Reeder72%
Torrance Taylor 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tracy Reeder a 72% favorite over Torrance Taylor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.

Torrance Taylor finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.