Combat Edge Intelligence

Townsend Saunders vs Tremaine Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-2-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'5"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team

What's at stake

Townsend Saunders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Tremaine Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Townsend SaundersNow 1465
If they win+23→ 1488
If they lose-25→ 1440
Tremaine JacksonNow 1450
If they win+25→ 1475
If they lose-23→ 1427

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Townsend SaundersTremaine Jackson
145015001999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Tremaine Jackson59%
Townsend Saunders 41%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Tremaine Jackson a 59% favorite over Townsend Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Townsend Saunders's way (48%).

Townsend Saunders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1465 to 1450, a 15-point edge.

Townsend Saunders enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tremaine Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.