Travis Lutter vs Trevor Prangley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record34-11-2
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lion's Den DallasTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Trevor Prangley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Travis Lutter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+36→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1492
If they win+6→ 1692
If they lose-18→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Travis LutterTrevor Prangley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Prangley78%
Travis Lutter 22%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Prangley a 78% favorite over Travis Lutter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Trevor Prangley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1504, a 182-point edge.
Travis Lutter finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Prangley 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.