AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Trevor Smith vs Wes Schultz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Trevor Smith
us

Trevor Smith

“Hot Sauce”

15-10-0MiddleweightUFC

1601Solid
Wes Schultz
us

Wes Schultz

“Party Time”

9-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1602Solid

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
41,5"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ring Demon Jiu-JitsuTeamPura Vida BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Trevor SmithNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Wes SchultzNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
56%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.96
51%
Strike defense
46%
1.70
Takedown avg.
2.56
32%
Takedown accuracy
0%
61%
Takedown defense
0%
0.72
Submission avg.
3.58

Trajectory

Trevor SmithWes Schultz
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
9 (60%)
Submission
6 (67%)
5 (33%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Smith55%
Wes Schultz 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Smith a 55% favorite over Wes Schultz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wes Schultz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1602), separated by just 1 points.

Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Trevor Smith finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.