Trevor Smith vs Zak Cummings
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record25-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
41,5"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ring Demon Jiu-JitsuTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Zak Cummings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Trevor Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1622
If they lose-10→ 1590
If they win+7→ 1746
If they lose-17→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Trevor SmithZak Cummings
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zak Cummings83%
Trevor Smith 17%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 83% favorite over Trevor Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Zak Cummings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1600, a 139-point edge.
Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Trevor Smith finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.