Trey Waters vs Ty Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height6'2"
77"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
If they win+24→ 1706
If they lose-24→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Trey WatersTy Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ty Miller59%
Trey Waters 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 59% favorite over Trey Waters in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1682), separated by just 2 points.
Ty Miller enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Trey Waters finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 50%.
Trey Waters and Ty Miller share 1 common opponent: Billy Ray Goff.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.