Trey Waters vs Yoshihiro Akiyama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'10"
77"Reach73,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ludus MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Trey WatersYoshihiro Akiyama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trey Waters67%
Yoshihiro Akiyama 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 67% favorite over Yoshihiro Akiyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1678), separated by just 2 points.
Yoshihiro Akiyama enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Trey Waters finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Yoshihiro Akiyama 88%.
Trey Waters carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.