Combat Edge Intelligence

Tsuyoshi Kosaka vs Tsuyoshi Sudario

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

28-21-2Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
214 lbsWeight261 lbs
Alliance-SquareTeamHi Rollers Entertainment

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tsuyoshi KosakaNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Tsuyoshi SudarioNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
17.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.78
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Tsuyoshi KosakaTsuyoshi Sudario
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
6 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (38%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Tsuyoshi Sudario71%
Tsuyoshi Kosaka 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tsuyoshi Sudario a 71% favorite over Tsuyoshi Kosaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tsuyoshi Kosaka's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1617), separated by just 0 points.

Tsuyoshi Kosaka finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Sudario 90%.

Tsuyoshi Kosaka and Tsuyoshi Sudario share 1 common opponent: Mikio Ueda.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO (Punches) · 2022
Mikio Ueda
LossTKO (Knee and Punches) · 2023