Tumelo Manyamala vs Victor Nunes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70.5"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Tumelo Manyamala is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Victor Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1640
If they lose-19→ 1608
If they win+19→ 1572
If they lose-13→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tumelo ManyamalaVictor Nunes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tumelo Manyamala60%
Victor Nunes 40%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Tumelo Manyamala a 60% favorite over Victor Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Tumelo Manyamala holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1553, a 74-point edge.
Tumelo Manyamala finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Victor Nunes 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.