Tumelo Manyamala vs Victor Nunes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70.5"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Tumelo Manyamala is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Victor Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-20→ 1606
If they win+20→ 1567
If they lose-12→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tumelo ManyamalaVictor Nunes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tumelo Manyamala57%
Victor Nunes 43%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Tumelo Manyamala a 57% favorite over Victor Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Tumelo Manyamala holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1547, a 79-point edge.
Tumelo Manyamala finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Victor Nunes 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.