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Combat Edge Intelligence

Turpal Gediev vs Yoshinori Horie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71.7"Reach-
147 lbsWeight156 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Turpal GedievNow 1670
If they win+24→ 1694
If they lose-24→ 1646
Yoshinori HorieNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.65
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Turpal GedievYoshinori Horie
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
3 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Yoshinori Horie57%
Turpal Gediev 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yoshinori Horie a 57% favorite over Turpal Gediev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Turpal Gediev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1669), separated by just 1 points.

Turpal Gediev enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Yoshinori Horie enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Turpal Gediev finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Yoshinori Horie 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.