Combat Edge Intelligence

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk vs Yohan Lainesse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
73"Reach76"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBrazilian Top Team Canada

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Yohan LainesseNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Tymoteusz ŁopaczykYohan Lainesse
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
4 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk61%
Yohan Lainesse 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 61% favorite over Yohan Lainesse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.

Yohan Lainesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Yohan Lainesse 64%.

Yohan Lainesse carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.