Combat Edge Intelligence

Tysen Herken vs Zhang Lipeng

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zhang Lipeng
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Zhang Lipeng

“The Warrior”

34-13-2WelterweightONE

1496Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record34-13-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Ironworks Training CenterTeamPhuket Top Team

What's at stake

Zhang Lipeng is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Tysen Herken carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tysen HerkenNow 1476
If they win+25→ 1501
If they lose-23→ 1453
Zhang LipengNow 1496
If they win+23→ 1519
If they lose-25→ 1471

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.88
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Tysen HerkenZhang Lipeng
1500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
13 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Tysen Herken60%
Zhang Lipeng 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 60% favorite over Zhang Lipeng in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zhang Lipeng's way (47%).

Zhang Lipeng holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1496 to 1476, a 20-point edge.

Zhang Lipeng 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.