Ulka Sasaki vs Wilson Reis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-2Record28-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'4"
71.00Reach65,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United
What's at stake
Wilson Reis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ulka Sasaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1566
If they lose-11→ 1534
If they win+8→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ulka SasakiWilson Reis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ulka Sasaki and Wilson Reis within a point of even.
Wilson Reis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1545, a 107-point edge.
Ulka Sasaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ulka Sasaki finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.
Ulka Sasaki and Wilson Reis share 1 common opponent: Taylor Lapilus.
Ulka Sasaki carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.