Combat Edge Intelligence

Valentin Moldavsky vs Will Fleury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight238 lbs
FedorTeamTeamSBG Ireland· avg 1632 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Valentin MoldavskyNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Will FleuryNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Valentin MoldavskyWill Fleury
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
3 (20%)
Submission
4 (24%)
10 (67%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Valentin Moldavsky53%
Will Fleury 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Valentin Moldavsky a 53% favorite over Will Fleury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.

Valentin Moldavsky finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.

Will Fleury carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.