Combat Edge Intelligence

Victor Dias vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Victor DiasNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
45%
Strike accuracy
30%
5.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
55%
Strike defense
56%
5
Takedown avg.
5.15
42%
Takedown accuracy
43%
0%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Victor DiasWilson Reis
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (64%)
Submission
13 (46%)
3 (27%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Dias62%
Wilson Reis 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Dias a 62% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Victor Dias finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.