Combat Edge Intelligence

Vinicius Oliveira vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-4-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Sombra TeamTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Vinicius OliveiraNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
Yair RodriguezNow 1751
If they win+16→ 1767
If they lose-16→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
57%
Strike defense
53%
1.45
Takedown avg.
0.71
47%
Takedown accuracy
24%
70%
Takedown defense
59%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Vinicius OliveiraYair Rodriguez
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
2 (8%)
Submission
5 (25%)
5 (21%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Yair Rodriguez57%
Vinicius Oliveira 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 57% favorite over Vinicius Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1751), separated by just 7 points.

Vinicius Oliveira finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.