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Combat Edge Intelligence

Vinicius Oliveira vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-4-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Sombra TeamTeamValle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Vinicius OliveiraNow 1749
If they win+16→ 1765
If they lose-16→ 1733
Yair RodriguezNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
57%
Strike defense
53%
1.45
Takedown avg.
0.71
47%
Takedown accuracy
24%
70%
Takedown defense
59%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Vinicius OliveiraYair Rodriguez
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
2 (8%)
Submission
5 (25%)
5 (21%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Vinicius Oliveira and Yair Rodriguez within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1752), separated by just 3 points.

Vinicius Oliveira finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.