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Combat Edge Intelligence

Wade Shipp vs Yorgan De Castro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Wade Shipp
us

Wade Shipp

“Nightmare”

12-5-0HeavyweightXFS

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
240 lbsWeight265 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRegiment Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Wade ShippNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Yorgan De CastroNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
87%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
75%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Wade ShippYorgan De Castro
1600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
6 (50%)
Submission
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Wade Shipp52%
Yorgan De Castro 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wade Shipp a 52% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.

Wade Shipp finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.