Walel Watson vs Yves Jabouin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-15-0Record20-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team BodyshopTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Yves Jabouin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Walel Watson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1486
If they lose-10→ 1462
If they win+14→ 1530
If they lose-18→ 1498
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Walel WatsonYves Jabouin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yves Jabouin57%
Walel Watson 43%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Yves Jabouin a 57% favorite over Walel Watson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Yves Jabouin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1516 to 1472, a 44-point edge.
Walel Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yves Jabouin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Walel Watson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yves Jabouin 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.