Combat Edge Intelligence

Warlley Alves vs Yahaya Yahuza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72,0"Reach69"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Rizzo RVTTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Warlley AlvesNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Yahaya YahuzaNow 1624
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
1.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
63%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.85
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Warlley AlvesYahaya Yahuza
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
6 (43%)
Submission
1 (13%)
4 (29%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Yahaya Yahuza71%
Warlley Alves 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yahaya Yahuza a 71% favorite over Warlley Alves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Warlley Alves's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.

Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Warlley Alves finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Yahaya Yahuza 50%.

Warlley Alves carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.