Wes Combs vs Wilson Gouveia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record14-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight219 lbs
Millennia MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Wes Combs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Wilson Gouveia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1668
If they lose-14→ 1644
If they win+19→ 1605
If they lose-13→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Wes CombsWilson Gouveia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Combs58%
Wilson Gouveia 42%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Combs a 58% favorite over Wilson Gouveia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Wes Combs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1586, a 72-point edge.
Wilson Gouveia enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Wes Combs finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Gouveia 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.