Willie Gates vs Zelim Umarov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-13-0Record3-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
39,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pinnacle MMATeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1478
If they lose-12→ 1454
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Willie GatesZelim Umarov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zelim Umarov55%
Willie Gates 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zelim Umarov a 55% favorite over Willie Gates in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1466 vs 1467), separated by just 1 points.
Willie Gates enters on a 9-fight loss streak.
Willie Gates finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Zelim Umarov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.