Yamato Nishikawa vs Yoshinori Horie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-6Record16-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Yamato NishikawaYoshinori Horie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yoshinori Horie73%
Yamato Nishikawa 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yoshinori Horie a 73% favorite over Yamato Nishikawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yamato Nishikawa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1673), separated by just 0 points.
Yoshinori Horie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Yamato Nishikawa finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yoshinori Horie 50%.
Yamato Nishikawa and Yoshinori Horie share 1 common opponent: Sho Patrick Usami.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.