Combat Edge Intelligence

Yancy Medeiros vs Yves Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yves Edwards
us

Yves Edwards

“Thugjitsu Master”

42-22-1LightweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record42-22-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
165 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team HakuiluaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Yancy Medeiros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+19→ 1629
If they lose-13→ 1597
Yves EdwardsNow 1686
If they win+9→ 1695
If they lose-15→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
37%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
47%
Strike defense
67%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0.76
17%
Takedown accuracy
54%
74%
Takedown defense
69%
0.65
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Yancy MedeirosYves Edwards
16001650170017502012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
17 (40%)
4 (25%)
Submission
16 (38%)
4 (25%)
Decision
9 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Yves Edwards56%
Yancy Medeiros 44%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Yves Edwards a 56% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1610, a 76-point edge.

Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Yancy Medeiros finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.