Combat Edge Intelligence

Yancy Medeiros vs Zaur Gadzhiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record4-1-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
75"Reach-
165 lbsWeight156 lbs
Team HakuiluaTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Yancy MedeirosNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Zaur GadzhievNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.33
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
74%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.65
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Yancy MedeirosZaur Gadzhiev
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Submission
3 (75%)
4 (25%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Zaur Gadzhiev70%
Yancy Medeiros 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zaur Gadzhiev a 70% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yancy Medeiros's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.

Yancy Medeiros finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Zaur Gadzhiev 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.