Karim Henniene vs Raphael Uchegbu

DateOct 10, 2026

DivisionBantamweight Semifinal

StatusScheduled

VenueMohammed V Sports Complex

BroadcastESPN 2

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:00 AM
Your time

Karim HennieneThe Kryptonian |7-0-0Karim Henniene vs Raphael UchegbuRaphael UchegbuScouse Spider |11-2-0

Karim HennieneThe Kryptonian7-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

7-0-0Record11-2-0

31Age31

5'10"Height5'9"

70"Reach73"

138 lbsWeight135 lbs

Bantamweight SemifinalWeight ClassBantamweight Semifinal

Raphael UchegbuScouse Spider11-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Raphael Uchegbu owns a 26-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Karim Henniene and Raphael Uchegbu across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Karim HennieneRaphael Uchegbu

Recent form

Karim HennieneW W W W W · +109 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Raphael UchegbuW L W W W · +31 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Elo edge

Karim Henniene1654+28 last move

Raphael Uchegbu1680+14 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

41%Karim Henniene59%Raphael Uchegbu

Model favoriteRaphael Uchegbu

Elo baseline54% for Raphael Uchegbu

Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Raphael UchegbuStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Raphael Uchegbu leads the full model at 59%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 5 points.

Current Elo ratings1654 · 1680Raphael Uchegbu leads by 26 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1527 · 1530Raphael Uchegbu faced the stronger recent schedule (7 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth7 · 14 fightsRaphael Uchegbu has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Karim HennienevsRaphael Uchegbu

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Karim Hennienedecision leads 71% of wins

Raphael Uchegbusubmission leads 45% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Karim HennieneRaphael Uchegbu

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.97

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 47%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.56

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.62

1Wins by knockout4

1Wins by submission5

5Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Karim Henniene vs Raphael Uchegbu is a scheduled Bantamweight Semifinal fight on PFL AFRICA 3 MOROCCO : KANE VS MEDKOURI. Karim Henniene enters with a 7-0-0 record and Raphael Uchegbu enters with a 11-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.