PFL AFRICA 3 MOROCCO : KANE VS MEDKOURI

Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel

DateOct 10, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueMohammed V Sports Complex
BroadcastESPN 2
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on ESPN 2.

US East (ET)
Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 4:00 AM
Rivaldo PereiraDon Pepas |4-2-0Rivaldo Pereira vs David SamuelDavid SamuelDjango |4-0-0
gwRivaldo PereiraDon Pepas4-2-0Rivaldo Pereira
Elo1557Solid
3Y trend1529 → 1557
2024-05-04: 15292024-10-04: 15032025-02-01: 14792025-03-15: 15042025-09-20: 15312026-04-10: 1557
gw

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
4-2-0Record4-0-0
29AgeTBD
6'2"Height6'0"
68"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Welterweight SemifinalWeight ClassWelterweight Semifinal
ngDavid SamuelDjango4-0-0ngDavid Samuel
Elo1641Solid
3Y trend1529 → 1641
2023-05-22: 15292023-12-18: 15552024-06-12: 15792024-12-07: 16022026-02-21: 16222026-04-10: 1641
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

David Samuel owns a 84-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Rivaldo Pereira and David Samuel across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Rivaldo PereiraDavid Samuel
1500155016001650202420252026

Recent form

Rivaldo PereiraW W W L L · +28 Elo last 5
WWWLL
David SamuelW W W W W · +112 Elo last 5
WWWWW

Elo edge

Rivaldo Pereira1557+26 last move
David Samuel1641+19 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
67%Rivaldo Pereira33%David Samuel
Model favoriteRivaldo Pereira
Elo baseline38% for Rivaldo Pereira
Matchup adjustment+29 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Rivaldo PereiraStake

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Rivaldo Pereira is 67%, after Elo alone favored David Samuel at 62%.

Current Elo ratings1557 · 1641David Samuel leads by 84 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1496 · 1500David Samuel faced the stronger recent schedule (6 vs 6 sampled fights).
Elo record depth6 · 6 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Rivaldo PereiravsDavid Samuel

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Rivaldo PereiraKO/TKO leads 50% of wins
David Samuelsubmission leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Rivaldo PereiraDavid Samuel

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC welterweight average : 3.67
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC welterweight average : 46%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC welterweight average : 3.83
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC welterweight average : 53%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC welterweight average : 1.33
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC welterweight average : 32%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC welterweight average : 59%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC welterweight average : 0.54
2Wins by knockout1
1Wins by submission3
1Wins by decision0
0Losses by knockout0
0Losses by submission0
2Losses by decision0

Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel is a scheduled Welterweight Semifinal fight on PFL AFRICA 3 MOROCCO : KANE VS MEDKOURI. Rivaldo Pereira enters with a 4-2-0 record and David Samuel enters with a 4-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel quick answers

When is Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel?

Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel is listed for PFL AFRICA 3 MOROCCO : KANE VS MEDKOURI on Oct 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM EST.

What event is Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel on?

Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel is listed on PFL AFRICA 3 MOROCCO : KANE VS MEDKOURI.

What are the records for Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel?

Rivaldo Pereira enters with a 4-2-0 record and David Samuel enters with a 4-0-0 record.

What division is Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel?

Rivaldo Pereira vs David Samuel is listed as a Welterweight Semifinal fight.

Full fight card

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