Sean Garcia vs Abraham Morales

DateSep 12, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueT Mobile Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 12, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Sean GarciaSugar Rush |7-1-1Sean Garcia vs Abraham MoralesAbraham Morales4-1-0

Sean GarciaSugar Rush7-1-1

Fight Overview

Round6

Time3:00

7-1-1Record4-1-0

25Age32

5'8"Height5'3"

68"Reach-

135.0 lbsWeight135.0 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Abraham Morales4-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Sean Garcia and Abraham Morales across their careers →

Recent form

Sean GarciaNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Abraham MoralesNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Elo edge

Sean Garcia15000 last move

Abraham Morales15000 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

54%Sean Garcia46%Abraham Morales

Model favoriteSean Garcia

Elo baseline50% for Sean Garcia

Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Sean GarciaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Sean Garcia at 54%.

Current Elo ratings1500 · 1500The fighters have the same published Elo rating.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depth0 · 0 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Sean GarciavsAbraham Morales

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Sean Garciadecision leads 71% of wins

Abraham MoralesKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Sean GarciaAbraham Morales

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.84

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

2Wins by knockout2

0Wins by submission0

5Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Sean Garcia vs Abraham Morales is a scheduled Lightweight fight on ZUFFA BOXING : GARCIA VS BENN. Sean Garcia enters with a 7-1-1 record and Abraham Morales enters with a 4-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.