Skye Nicolson vs Miyo Yoshida

Nov 8, 2026 · ESPN

Combat Edge model forecast41%Skye Nicolson59%Miyo YoshidaFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 8, 2026

DivisionSuper Bantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCollege Park Center

BroadcastESPN

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, November 8, 2026 — watch on ESPN.

US East (ET): Sun 8:30 PM
US West (PT): Sun 5:30 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 1:30 AM
Central Europe: Mon 2:30 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 12:30 PM
Your time

Skye Nicolson16-1-0Skye Nicolson vs Miyo YoshidaMiyo Yoshida19-5-0

Skye Nicolson16-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

16-1-0Record19-5-0

31AgeTBD

5'5"HeightTBD

68"ReachTBD

126 LBSWeightTBD

Super BantamweightWeight ClassSuper Bantamweight

Miyo Yoshida19-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Skye Nicolson and Miyo Yoshida across their careers →

Recent form

Skye NicolsonNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Miyo YoshidaL W L · -16 Elo last 3

LWL

Elo edge

Skye NicolsonTBDTBD last move

Miyo Yoshida1484-26 last move

Why they are ranked here

Miyo YoshidaNot on the active ladder · 1484 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Yoko Kagoshima (rated 1500 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Mai Ichii (rated 1479 at the time): -26.
Last 3 fights: 1 win, 2 losses, -16 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1394, not 1484: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

41%Skye Nicolson59%Miyo Yoshida

Model favoriteMiyo Yoshida

Elo baseline48% for Miyo Yoshida

Matchup adjustment+11 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Miyo YoshidaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Miyo Yoshida is 59%, after Elo alone favored Skye Nicolson at 52%.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Skye NicolsonNow 1500

Wins by decision+23→ 1523

Loses by decision-25→ 1475

Miyo YoshidaNow 1484

Wins by decision+25→ 1509

Loses by decision-23→ 1461

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Skye NicolsonvsMiyo Yoshida

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Skye NicolsonWin method split is limited

Miyo YoshidaWin method split is limited

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Skye NicolsonMiyo Yoshida

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Skye Nicolson vs Miyo Yoshida is a scheduled Super Bantamweight fight on MVPW 7 : TURHAN VS BAUMGARDNER. Skye Nicolson enters with a 16-1-0 record and Miyo Yoshida enters with a 19-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.