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Combat Edge Intelligence

Pavel Gordeev vs Amirkhan Adaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record23-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71" Reach-
157 lbsWeight157 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1771 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBerkut FC· 1626 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Pavel Gordeev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Amirkhan Adaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pavel GordeevNow 1702
If they win+11→ 1713
If they lose-13→ 1689
Amirkhan AdaevNow 1683
If they win+13→ 1696
If they lose-11→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Pavel GordeevAmirkhan Adaev
170020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
6 (25%)
Submission
4 (18%)
16 (67%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Pavel Gordeev68%
Amirkhan Adaev 32%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Pavel Gordeev a 68% favorite over Amirkhan Adaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Pavel Gordeev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1683, a 19-point edge.

Pavel Gordeev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Pavel Gordeev finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Amirkhan Adaev 50%.

Pavel Gordeev and Amirkhan Adaev share 2 common opponents: Viktor Makarenko and Alexander Matmuratov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Alexander Matmuratov
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Viktor Makarenko
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024