Aalon Cruz vs Uros Medic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
78,0"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Darkside MMATeamKings MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Uros Medic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Aalon Cruz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1646
If they lose-11→ 1614
If they win+11→ 1740
If they lose-21→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aalon CruzUros Medic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Uros Medic90%
Aalon Cruz 10%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Uros Medic a 90% favorite over Aalon Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Uros Medic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1625, a 104-point edge.
Uros Medic enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Aalon Cruz finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Uros Medic 100%.
Aalon Cruz carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.