AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Aby vs Daniel Barez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-11-1Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
The MMA Academy Liverpool· 1637 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron AbyNow 1593
If they win+12→ 1605
If they lose-12→ 1581
Daniel BarezNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.95
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.93
Not available
Takedown accuracy
29%
Not available
Takedown defense
80%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Aaron AbyDaniel Barez
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
7 (35%)
Submission
6 (35%)
11 (55%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Aby58%
Daniel Barez 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Aby a 58% favorite over Daniel Barez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Barez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.

Aaron Aby enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aaron Aby finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Barez 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.