Arman Tsarukyan24-3-0
Dillon Danis2-0-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
90%Arman Tsarukyan10%Dillon Danis
Combat Edge Model · Full card
Raf 14: Tsarukyan vs Danis predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on Raf 14: Tsarukyan vs Danis (October 23, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
12Total bouts
12Frozen forecasts
6Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
4Strong model leans
OpenPicks close at start
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Showing all 12 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
12 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Khamzat Chimaev15-1-0
Robbie Lawler30-16-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
94%Khamzat Chimaev6%Robbie Lawler
Lucia Yepez0-0-0
Sarah Hildebrandt0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
54%Lucia Yepez46%Sarah Hildebrandt
Sebastian Rivera0-0-0
Vito Arujau0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
48%Sebastian Rivera52%Vito Arujau
Jordan Oliver2-0-0
Ridge Lovett0-0-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agree
52%Jordan Oliver48%Ridge Lovett
Brendan Allen28-7-0
Alexander Shlemenko68-17-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
92%Brendan Allen8%Alexander Shlemenko
Jordan Burroughs0-0-0
Michael Caliendo0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
50.5%Jordan Burroughs49.5%Michael Caliendo
Yonger Bastida0-0-0
Model lean50/50 baseline
56%Yonger Bastida44%Daniel Greg Kerkvliet
Nick Suriano0-0-0
Dylan Ragusin0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
52%Nick Suriano48%Dylan Ragusin
Patrick Downey1-1-0
Magomed Magomedkerimov34-6-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
29%Patrick Downey72%Magomed Magomedkerimov
Mekhi Lewis0-0-0
Akhmed Gazimagomedov0-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
48%Mekhi Lewis52%Akhmed Gazimagomedov
Bella Mir4-1-0
Hope Chase7-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
45%Bella Mir55%Hope Chase