Aaron Jeffery vs Mansur Abdul-Malik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1708 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Aaron Jeffery is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mansur Abdul-Malik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1725
If they lose-17→ 1693
If they win+17→ 1705
If they lose-15→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron JefferyMansur Abdul-Malik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aaron Jeffery and Mansur Abdul-Malik within a point of even.
Aaron Jeffery holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1688, a 22-point edge.
Mansur Abdul-Malik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Jeffery finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.
Mansur Abdul-Malik carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.