Aaron McKenzie vs Damon Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-1Record23-8-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73.5"Reach 71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
BattleGrounds MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron McKenzieDamon Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damon Jackson73%
Aaron McKenzie 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Damon Jackson a 73% favorite over Aaron McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron McKenzie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.
Aaron McKenzie enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Damon Jackson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aaron McKenzie finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Damon Jackson 83%.
Aaron McKenzie carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.