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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Phillips vs Josue Vinueza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Aaron Phillips
us

Aaron Phillips

“The Dragon”

12-6-0BantamweightRagin Fighting Championship

1473Average
Josue Vinueza
ec

Josue Vinueza

“El Zurdo”

4-4-0BantamweightInka MMA

1474Average

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record4-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PhillipsNow 1473
If they win+16→ 1489
If they lose-16→ 1457
Josue VinuezaNow 1474
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.51
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
44%
Strike defense
Not available
0.86
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
44%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.57
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Aaron PhillipsJosue Vinueza
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (50%)
4 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aaron Phillips and Josue Vinueza within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1473 vs 1474), separated by just 1 points.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Josue Vinueza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Josue Vinueza 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.