Vitaliy Yakimenko11-2-0
Marcello Morelli8-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
62%Vitaliy Yakimenko38%Marcello Morelli
Combat Edge Model · Full card
KSW 122 Rzeszow: Yakymenko vs Morelli predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on KSW 122 Rzeszow: Yakymenko vs Morelli (October 10, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
9Total bouts
9Frozen forecasts
3Close matchups
4Model / Elo splits
1Strong model leans
OpenPicks close at start
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 9 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
7 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Laïd Zerhouni15-10-0
Andrzej Grzebyk22-9-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
51%Laïd Zerhouni49%Andrzej Grzebyk
Mateusz Makarowski14-7-1
Adam Soldaev10-3-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
24%Mateusz Makarowski76%Adam Soldaev
Marian Ziółkowski26-11-1
Wilson Varela13-8-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
43%Marian Ziółkowski58%Wilson Varela
Sergiusz Zając9-2-0
Bartosz Szewczyk9-5-1
Model leanModel + Elo agree
65%Sergiusz Zając35%Bartosz Szewczyk
Welisson Paiva12-5-1
Igor Włodarczyk3-0-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
55%Welisson Paiva45%Igor Włodarczyk
Szymon Bajor26-13-0
Kacper Paczóski4-0-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agree
50.5%Szymon Bajor49.5%Kacper Paczóski
Prelims
Prelims predictions
2 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Andrzej Karkula6-1-0
Kamil Korzeniowski6-6-1
Model leanModel + Elo agree
60%Andrzej Karkula40%Kamil Korzeniowski
Kristians Boguzs4-0-0
Kacper Cholewa3-1-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
49.8%Kristians Boguzs50.2%Kacper Cholewa