Aaron Pico vs Ian Escuza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamPitbull Martial Arts Center· 1672 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+24→ 1733
If they lose-24→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PicoIan Escuza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Escuza57%
Aaron Pico 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Escuza a 57% favorite over Aaron Pico in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Pico's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1709), separated by just 1 points.
Ian Escuza enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Aaron Pico finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Ian Escuza 100%.
Ian Escuza carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.