Aaron Pico vs Patricio Pitbull
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record37-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach65"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamPitbull Brothers· 1621 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Patricio Pitbull is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Aaron Pico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1688
If they win+9→ 1792
If they lose-15→ 1768
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PicoPatricio Pitbull
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patricio Pitbull60%
Aaron Pico 40%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Patricio Pitbull a 60% favorite over Aaron Pico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Patricio Pitbull holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1783 to 1700, a 83-point edge.
Aaron Pico finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Patricio Pitbull 65%.
Aaron Pico and Patricio Pitbull share 1 common opponent: Jeremy Kennedy.
Aaron Pico carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.