Aaron Tau vs Kevin Fernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight131 lbs
City KickboxingTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aaron TauKevin Fernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Fernandez56%
Aaron Tau 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Fernandez a 56% favorite over Aaron Tau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1671), separated by just 2 points.
Aaron Tau enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kevin Fernandez enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Aaron Tau finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Fernandez 60%.
Kevin Fernandez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.