Abbas Abasov vs Lucas Ganin
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abbas Abasov and Lucas Ganin within a point of even.
Lucas Ganin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1610, a 25-point edge.
Abbas Abasov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lucas Ganin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abbas Abasov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Ganin 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamIS 360 Sport Academy
What's at stake
Lucas Ganin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Abbas Abasov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1636
If they lose-22→ 1588
If they win+15→ 1650
If they lose-17→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abbas AbasovLucas Ganin