Abdelkrim Zouad vs Gleison Tibau
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Gleison Tibau56%
Abdelkrim Zouad 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gleison Tibau a 56% favorite over Abdelkrim Zouad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abdelkrim Zouad's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.
Abdelkrim Zouad enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Gleison Tibau 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record40-20-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA BarcelonaTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdelkrim ZouadGleison Tibau