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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdelrahman Essam vs Chepe Mariscal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-Reach69″
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tower 1 Combat Sports TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdelrahman EssamNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
Chepe MariscalNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
Not available
Strike accuracy
56%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.85
Not available
Takedown accuracy
39%
Not available
Takedown defense
73%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Abdelrahman EssamChepe Mariscal
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
5 (50%)
Submission
3 (17%)
1 (10%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Chepe Mariscal52%
Abdelrahman Essam 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chepe Mariscal a 52% favorite over Abdelrahman Essam in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abdelrahman Essam's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1699), separated by just 1 points.

Abdelrahman Essam enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Abdelrahman Essam finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Chepe Mariscal 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.