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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdoul Abdouraguimov vs Andreeas Binder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-1-0Record12-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamSBG Charlestown· 1628 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Abdoul Abdouraguimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Andreeas Binder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abdoul AbdouraguimovNow 1772
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-20→ 1752
Andreeas BinderNow 1676
If they win+20→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Abdoul AbdouraguimovAndreeas Binder
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
12 (60%)
Submission
2 (17%)
6 (30%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdoul Abdouraguimov78%
Andreeas Binder 22%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdoul Abdouraguimov a 78% favorite over Andreeas Binder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Abdoul Abdouraguimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1676, a 96-point edge.

Abdoul Abdouraguimov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Andreeas Binder enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Abdoul Abdouraguimov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Andreeas Binder 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.