Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Mateusz Gamrot

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-2-0Record26-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovNow 1806
If they win+16→ 1822
If they lose-16→ 1790
Mateusz GamrotNow 1810
If they win+12→ 1822
If they lose-12→ 1798

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.22
TBD
Takedown accuracy
9%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovMateusz Gamrot
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
6 (27%)
Submission
6 (23%)
7 (32%)
Decision
12 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Mateusz Gamrot59%
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Gamrot a 59% favorite over Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1806 vs 1810), separated by just 4 points.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.