Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Shaqueme Rock

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record11-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
69"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Fortis MMATeamMonarchy MMA

What's at stake

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Shaqueme Rock carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyNow 1685
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-18→ 1667
Shaqueme RockNow 1641
If they win+18→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
35%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
59%
Strike defense
56%
2.32
Takedown avg.
1
31%
Takedown accuracy
11%
20%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyShaqueme Rock
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (13%)
Submission
8 (73%)
6 (38%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady60%
Shaqueme Rock 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady a 60% favorite over Shaqueme Rock in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1641, a 44-point edge.

Shaqueme Rock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shaqueme Rock 91%.

Shaqueme Rock carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.