Abdul Karim Badakhshi vs Matheus Severino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record15-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Badakhshi GymTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1688 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Matheus Severino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Abdul Karim Badakhshi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1596
If they lose-14→ 1564
If they win+14→ 1635
If they lose-18→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdul Karim BadakhshiMatheus Severino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abdul Karim Badakhshi and Matheus Severino within a point of even.
Matheus Severino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1578, a 43-point edge.
Abdul Karim Badakhshi finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Severino 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.