Matheus Severino vs Abdul Karim Badakhshi

Nov 7, 2026 · OKTAGON TV

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZAG Arena

BroadcastOKTAGON TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on OKTAGON TV.

US East (ET): Sat 11:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 8:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 4:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 5:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Matheus Severino15-5-0Matheus Severino vs Abdul Karim BadakhshiAbdul Karim BadakhshiThe Rock |8-4-0

Matheus Severino15-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

15-5-0Record8-4-0

29Age28

5'4"Height5'7"

TBDReachTBD

125 lbsWeight126 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Abdul Karim BadakhshiThe Rock8-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Matheus Severino owns a 43-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Matheus Severino and Abdul Karim Badakhshi across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Matheus SeverinoAbdul Karim Badakhshi

Recent form

Matheus SeverinoW L W W W · +31 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Abdul Karim BadakhshiL W L L L · -94 Elo last 5

LWLLL

Elo edge

Matheus Severino1621+12 last move

Abdul Karim Badakhshi1578-17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Matheus Severino#99 of 229 active Flyweight fighters · 1621 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Renan Baptista (rated 1500 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Luiz Paulo Barbosa (rated 1480 at the time): -37.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +31 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #98 Mason Hartshorn, 1 ahead of #100 Oyatullo Muminov.

Abdul Karim Badakhshi#144 of 229 active Flyweight fighters · 1578 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Nazir-Ahmad Hashimi (rated 1500 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Anatoly Kondratiev (rated 1500 at the time): -40.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -94 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #143 Luis Hernandez, 0 ahead of #145 Gary Rooney.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Matheus SeverinoNow 1621 · #99 Flyweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1635

Loses by decision-18→ 1603

Abdul Karim BadakhshiNow 1578 · #144 Flyweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1596

Loses by decision-14→ 1564

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Matheus SeverinovsAbdul Karim Badakhshi

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Matheus Severinodecision leads 40% of wins

Abdul Karim BadakhshiKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Matheus SeverinoAbdul Karim Badakhshi

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 44%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC flyweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 55%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 1.46

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC flyweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC flyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC flyweight average : 0.63

4Wins by knockout4

5Wins by submission3

6Wins by decision1

4Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision2

Matheus Severino vs Abdul Karim Badakhshi is a scheduled Flyweight fight on OKTAGON 97 : SEVERINO VS HOLZER. Matheus Severino enters with a 15-5-0 record and Abdul Karim Badakhshi enters with a 8-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.