Abdul-Kerim Edilov vs Lucas Fernando
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record14-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
42,0"Reach81.5"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamRefit Pro Fighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Kerim EdilovLucas Fernando
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Fernando69%
Abdul-Kerim Edilov 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Fernando a 69% favorite over Abdul-Kerim Edilov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1693), separated by just 3 points.
Abdul-Kerim Edilov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Lucas Fernando enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Abdul-Kerim Edilov finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Fernando 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.