Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev vs Mikhail Dolgov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev75%
Mikhail Dolgov 25%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev a 75% favorite over Mikhail Dolgov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1536, a 166-point edge.
Mikhail Dolgov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Mikhail Dolgov 45%.
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev and Mikhail Dolgov share 3 common opponents: Ibragim Magomedov, Chris Honeycutt and Nikola Dipchikov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
21-6-0Record11-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach-
187 lbsWeight187 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 ratedTeamEvolve Gym· 1546 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Mikhail Dolgov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1709
If they lose-17→ 1685
If they win+23→ 1559
If they lose-9→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Rakhman DzhanaevMikhail Dolgov
Win method breakdown
Common opponents (3)
WinTKO (Punches) · 2023
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024