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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abe Alsaghir vs Fabrizio Escarrega

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
72" Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
TeamVictory Fight Club· 1683 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Abe Alsaghir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Fabrizio Escarrega carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abe AlsaghirNow 1685
If they win+21→ 1706
If they lose-27→ 1658
Fabrizio EscarregaNow 1640
If they win+18→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Abe AlsaghirFabrizio Escarrega
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (33%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (22%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Abe Alsaghir57%
Fabrizio Escarrega 43%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Abe Alsaghir a 57% favorite over Fabrizio Escarrega in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Abe Alsaghir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1640, a 45-point edge.

Abe Alsaghir enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Abe Alsaghir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Fabrizio Escarrega 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.